Legal Affairs > Direct Shipping Litigation

  SUPREME COURT FILINGS

The Supreme Court Battle

Last Updated: May 18, 2005

The Decision Is In
As you are probably aware by now, the Supreme Court issued its opinion in the NY and MI direct shipping cases yesterday. The majority opinion (5-4) was authored by Justice Kennedy. Justices Ginsburg, Breyer, Souter, and Scalia joined him. Two scathing dissents were filed in the case. Justice Stevens penned the first and Justice O'Connor joined him in that opinion. Justice Thomas wrote the second dissent and Justices Steven and O'Connor, and Chief Justice Rehnquist joined with him.

Analysis of the Decision:
The battle in the case essentially revolved around the interpretation of the Wilson and Webb-Kenyon Acts, the 21st Amendment, and the meaning of court decisions interpreting those enactments dating back to the late 1800's.

The states took the position that the Wilson and Webb-Kenyon Acts, passed in the 1890 and 1913 respectively, were designed to overcome commerce clause problems identified by the Court, which caused the Court to repeatedly nullify state laws designed to allow them to exert effective control over the importation and transportation of alcohol in that time frame. They felt comfortable in this interpretation because the Supreme Court itself ruled in the Clark Distilling case in 1917 that the Webb-Kenyon Act took "the protection of interstate commerce away from all receipt and possession of liquor prohibited by state law." Moreover, as Justice Thomas pointed out, the reenactment of the Webb-Kenyon Act in 1935 created a presumption that it incorporated "settled judicial construction," that Congress intended to give states the authority to act in derogation of normal commerce clause restrictions. After all, the Webb-Kenyon Act was formally titled "An Act Divesting Intoxicating Liquors of Their Interstate Character in Certain Cases."

That interpretation also appeared justified by the opinion of the Court in the Young's Market case in 1936. As Justice Thomas noted, the Young's Market Court rejected the argument that a state "must let imported liquors compete with the domestic on equal terms," and that "to say that would involve not a construction of the Amendment, but a rewriting of it.'
Justice's Stevens and O'Connor seem to believe that that is precisely what the majority has done. As Justice Stevens wrote in his dissent "Today's decision may represent sound economic policy and may be consistent with the policy choices of the contemporaries of Adam Smith who drafted our original Constitution; it is not, however, consistent with the policy choices made by those who amended our Constitution in 1919 and 1933."

Justice Stevens, I believe, was on to something. The majority opinion reads from the outset more like an economic treatise than an interpretation of the Constitution. But while the facts and figures provided by Justice Kennedy may be relevant for policy discussions by legislatures, they are wholly inappropriate when discussing what was meant by the people of this nation when they ratified the 21st Amendment.

Justice Kennedy reinterprets the meaning of the the cases and federal enactments by selectively choosing language from the cases he cites to, while ignoring concurrent language which proves contrary to his thesis - something Justice Thomas calls him on time and time again. I should point out that this type of intellectual "selective blindness" is reminiscent of the methodology of the FTC Report, which is cited to with such approval by Justice Kennedy. You may recall that the FTC chose to ignore voluminous evidence provided by former AAG Irene Mead from Michigan that direct to consumer sales allowed for easy access by minors, and instead found that there was no problem with such sales based upon the reporting of only 11 states - none of which had conducted any law enforcement efforts - and all of whom based their response upon the fact that they received few reports of a problem (the subsequent MA AG sting reinforced the MI findings).

The gist of Kennedy's opinion is that alcohol must be treated like any other item in commerce - jeans, books, CD's - and that in order for a state to justify treating out-of-state producers differently than in-state producers, states must pass a "strict scrutiny" test: Does the state regime advance a legitimate local purpose that cannot be adequately served by reasonable nondiscriminatory alternatives?

Ironically, Kennedy faults the states for failing to provide sufficient evidence that underage sales to minors is a problem while concurrently holding out the woefully inadequate and self-indulgent FTC Report as an authority on the subject. He also gives short shrift to state regulatory concerns that it would be difficult to hold violators accountable, pointing to the ability of the TTB to revoke permits for unlawful interstate sales - despite the fact that TTB has never revoked a single permit for such a violation. And he utterly dismisses the state argument that tax revenue could be lost by simply instructing the states that they can condition a permit on the collection of taxes - note that he doesn't say how the state is to ensure the accuracy of such reports since the thousands of licensees will be in another state - and perhaps across the country.

Justice Kennedy clearly supports the three-tier system itself, reiterating Justice Scalia's comments in the 1990 North Dakota case that it is "unquestionably legitimate." And he also confirms that nothing in the Court's opinion changes the fact that, as an earlier Court decision in Midcal made clear, The Twenty-first Amendment grants the States virtually complete control over whether to permit importation or sale of liquor an how to structure the liquor distribution system."

So where does that leave us?

Justice Thomas argues that Justice Kennedy's opinion rests upon creating a distinction between a state's ability to discriminate at the wholesale level and retail level - which he feels is the obvious implication of Justice Kennedy's acceptance of the three-tier system and control states - and its ability to treat out-of-state producers differently. Thus where a state treats in-state producers differently than out-of-state producers, the state must change their laws to create a level playing field.

In other words, the states can either prohibit direct shipping altogether - and require accountable face-to-face transactions through a locally licensed seller, or it can open the doors and allow out-of-state shippers to ship in the same quantities and with the same restrictions imposed on in-state direct shippers.

The logical implication of that rationale - and Justice Kennedy's own words - is that reciprocal laws are unconstitutional - although you will search in vain for a reference to that particular part of the opinion in any press release from the wine interests.

But read Justice Kennedy's words:

"Laws of the type at issue in the instant cases contradict these principles. They deprive citizens of their right to have access to the markets of other States on equal terms. The perceived necessity for reciprocal sale privileges risks generating the trade rivalries and animosities, the alliances and exclusivity, that the Constitution and, in particular, the Commerce Clause were designed to avoid. State laws that protect local wineries have led to the enactment of statutes under which some States condition the right of out-of-state wineries to make direct wine sales to in-state consumers on a reciprocal right in the shipping state. California, for example, passed a reciprocity law in 1986, retreating from the State's previous regime that allowed unfettered direct shipments from out-of-state wineries. . . The obvious aim of the California statute was to open the interstate direct shipping market for the state's many wineries. Ibid. The current patchwork of laws - with some states banning direct shipments altogether, others doing so only for out-of-state wines, and still others requiring reciprocity - is essentially the product of an ongoing, low level trade war. Allowing states to discriminate against out-of-state wine "invite[s] a multiplication of preferential trade areas destructive of the very purpose of the Commerce Clause.""
There is no question that Justice Kennedy views reciprocal laws with the same skepticism that he views exclusive in-state privileges. His use of the term "preferential trade areas" and his criticism of California for its "retreat" from allowing all direct shipments makes it very clear that reciprocal laws fail to pass constitutional muster.

Assuming Justice Thomas is correct in his interpretation - that Justice Kennedy is making a producer based distinction - that could be good news for big box retailers like Costco (which issued a press release praising the decision) and Wal-Mart, but bad news for small and medium size wineries in the long run.

You may be aware that Costco has brought suit in Washington State using the same legal theory as that employed in the direct shipping lawsuits, alleging that Washington's allowing in-state suppliers to ship direct to retail while denying that privilege to out-of-state suppliers is unconstitutional. Should Costco prevail in that argument and they are permitted to deal directly with suppliers, their economic power will invariably drive prices down and smaller retailers out. Since Costco admits in its pleadings that it focuses on just a limited number of SKU's, the loss of local retail establishments - which offer on average 500-1000 SKU's of wine - will in the long run hurt smaller to mid-level wineries who do not make it onto the list of big box SKU's.

It was initially feared that Control States could be vulnerable if the Court ruled against the states, however the Court clearly indicated that a state decision to "assume direct control of liquor distribution through state-run outlets" is valid. But that does not mean that control states are free from the Court's mandate.

As the recent federal court decision in the successor Virginia litigation proves, being a control state does not insulate you from these challenges. There, the judge struck down Virginia's personal importation law, holding that since Virginia residents could buy as much as they wanted in-state, they should be allowed to go to neighboring states like Maryland, West Virginia, and North Carolina and buy as much as they want there. Arguments that this would cause a loss of tax revenue in Virginia were ignored by the court. He upheld the quantity limit on direct shipments since both in-state and out-of-state shippers were held to the same two case per month limitation, struck down the brand owner permission requirement for out-of-state retailers because there was no such requirement for in-state retailers, disallowed "delivery" of wine and beer by in-state breweries, wineries and retailers because out-of-state retailers may not "deliver," struck down the ability of in-state wineries and breweries to ship directly to retailers since out-of-state wineries and breweries can not ship direct to retailers, and struck down the restriction on the kinds of alcohol that can be sold in state liquor stores since they do not allow out-of-state wines to be sold there.

That ruling is pending appeal to the 4th Circuit and thus could result in the first decision by an appeals court interpreting the recent Supreme Court decision. Such a decision could help answer the question of whether Thomas was correct - that the decision allows for disparate treatment of wholesalers and retailers and was limited to prohibiting producer based distinctions - or whether out-of-state retailers must be treated the same way as in-state retailers. For example, it is unclear if the Court's decision means that if you allow in-state retailers to deliver, you must also allow out-of-state retailers to do the same.

The last thing I will add is that I think it is probably clear from the decision that the Supreme Court did not intend for its ruling to be applied to permit "equalization" challenges. By that I mean that I do not believe the Court would entertain a challenge by brewers or distillers to a state law allowing direct shipping by wineries only. As long as the state is evenhanded - allowing all wineries in-state and out-of-state to ship wine - I believe that is all the Court is requiring.

Of course, the battle now shifts back to the state legislatures to determine which way they will go - and to the lower courts to determine the parameters of the decision rendered by the Supreme Court.

Summary of the Oral Arguments:
The basic premise put forward by the plaintiffs in these cases is that while the 21st Amendment did to some degree shield states from the scrutiny of the "dormant commerce clause," it did not delete pre-21st Amendment jurisprudence which disallowed "discrimination" by the states in structuring their regulatory systems. The plaintiffs rely predominantly on Bacchus, a 1984 case dealing with Hawaii's tax treatment which favored a locally produced wine, which held that "[t]he central purpose of the provision (Section 2 of the 21st Amendment) was not to empower States to favor local liquor industries by erecting barriers to competition. It is also beyond doubt that the Commerce Clause itself furthers strong federal interests in preventing economic Balkanization. . . State laws that constitute mere economic protectionism are therefore not entitled to the same deference as laws enacted to combat the perceived evils of an unrestricted traffic in liquor. Here, the State does not seek to justify its tax on the ground that it was designed to promote temperance or to carry out any other purpose of the Twenty- first Amendment, but instead acknowledges that the purpose was "to promote a local industry." (parenthetical supplied).

The states and wholesaler intervenors counter that the 21st Amendment was designed to overcome commerce clause challenges which had stymied their efforts to control imports until just prior to Prohibition (the Webb-Kenyon Act, upon which the 21st Amendment was modeled, was upheld by the Supreme Court in 1917 - just prior to the institution of Prohibition), that its very words supply the power to control imports as states have done, that Bacchus is inapposite since it did not deal with importation control but with a tax, that bans on direct shipment are entitled to deference since they are designed to "combat the perceived evils of an unrestricted traffic in liquor," and that the evidence in the cases demonstrates that the laws in question are not "mere economic protectionism."

Bolick's Argument:
One of the biggest concerns voiced by wholesalers and the states arising out of this litigation is that the legal framework promoted by the plaintiffs is very broad and that virtually no import control now existing could withstand scrutiny were the courts to accept that perspective. Justice Kennedy, the first of the justices to ask a question, immediately recognized that issue.

He asked Bolick whether the entire three-tier licensing system would necessarily be rendered invalid under his interpretation. He asked specifically why a NJ wholesaler could not sell to NY retailers, or vice versa, if such import controls/distinctions were invalid. Bolick argued, unpersuasively, that this issue was limited to wine. I say unpersuasively because Justice Kennedy obviously was not satisfied with his answer and later raised this same point right out of the gates with Kathleen Sullivan noting that while it was a "narrow issue" being litigated, the plaintiffs were asking for a "sweeping rationale" and he was unclear how the three-tier system survives under that rationale.

Justice Breyer followed Justice Kennedy's initial questions with something of an historical recitation wherein he seemed to take the position that Bolick's position concerning the viability of discrimination claims was put down by the Court's decision (Justice Brandeis writing for the majority) in the Young's Market case in 1936, where it held that states need not treat importers and domestic industry in the same manner and that to argue to the contrary would be to rewrite the 21st Amendment.

Justice Ginsburg was equally critical of Bolick's assessment of the legislative history of the Webb-Kenyon Act and the 21st Amendment, noting that Congress could have put into the Act or the Amendment the non-discriminatory language Bolick argued survived the passage/ratification of those laws, but it chose not to do so. Justice Souter asked Bolick whether Congress had drafted and later dropped anti-discrimination language from Webb-Kenyon, as it obviously was not present in that statute. Bolick argued that it would have been redundant to include it but could not answer the question directly.

Justice Kennedy then delved into the issue of tax revenue that the states would lose, both excise taxes and sales tax, if the plaintiffs were to prevail. He noted the Quill case and asked how states could require that such taxes be paid in light of that decision. Bolick responded that the taxes could be collected as a condition of a permit.

Justice Souter followed with practical regulatory concerns. He wondered how states could audit compliance without great expense and without the ability to drop in unexpectedly - something that would be impossible across the country. Bolick argued that online compliance checks were sufficient and feasible. Justice Scalia then asked whether the federal government policed compliance with state tax laws and Justice Kennedy asked if such audits by the feds were routine, to which Bolick replied that they did and they were. Of course that is not quite the case. While wineries are subject to the loss of their federal permit if found to have violated state laws concerning the remittance of state taxes, the TTB does not regularly check such records and is more concerned with the payment of federal taxes and fees.

Justice Ginsburg closed out the questioning of Bolick by wondering whether the rationale put forward by the plaintiffs would allow the shipment of alcoholic beverages other than wine. Bolick tried to argue that these cases are limited to wine, but of course the constitution speaks to alcohol and later admissions by Sullivan belied that argument.

Sullivan's Argument:
As noted previously, Justice Kennedy immediately raised the issue of the "sweeping rationale" being sought by the plaintiffs with Sullivan, just as he had with Bolick, noting that virtually any import regulation would be invalid under their interpretation.

Justice Ginsburg, exploring the nature of the relief being sought by the plaintiffs asked whether simply taking away the in-state direct shipping complained of would give them nothing to complain about. Sullivan agreed, but argued that the better result would be to open the market to all comers.

Justice Stevens, echoing Justice Brandeis' decision in Young's Market, asked her if Michigan could bar all out-of-state wine, even assuming the only reason were to give a monopoly to local producers. She said no, but Justice Breyer asserted that since Section 2 of the 21st Amendment was meant to end that part of the dormant commerce clause that allows foreign suppliers to be treated better than domestic suppliers, and since the dormant commerce clause was an implication of the commerce clause, if the 21st Amendment did not speak to discrimination, then the dormant commerce clause doesn't apply. "You can't divide the dormant commerce clause into six parts," he explained.

Sullivan did not argue that point, but instead argued that case law since the passage of the 21st Amendment had superseded that interpretation - essentially saying that the Court had over time written opinions which overturned the original intent and meaning of the 21st Amendment. But Justice Stevens disagreed with her reading of those cases, reminding her that the cases she cited, such as Boren, dealt with other constitutional challenges, not challenges under the commerce clause. He asked Sullivan whether Congress could empower states to do what they had done here and she answered yes, but that it had not done so.

Justice Souter, noting the states' argument that this case was different than Bacchus, that there was a substantial need for differential treatment, asked what standard should be applied. Sullivan argued that the states must meet a "strict scrutiny" standard and that they could not do so in this case since there were less restrictive alternatives available to the state to ameliorate their concerns. Justice Souter countered that states don't want to travel to other states to enforce their laws and Justice Kennedy asked whether that meant that Michigan must allow out-of-state shipments directly to consumers. Sullivan argued that with a permit system conditioned on tax payments and online compliance checks, the states could achieve a satisfactory level of enforcement.

In another swipe at the sweeping rationale asserted by plaintiffs, Justice Kennedy asked Sullivan whether the reciprocity laws, which restrict direct shipments to consumers to only those in participating states, must also be found invalid. Sullivan hedged saying "possibly," but Justice Stevens seemed incredulous noting that she had to concede that the reciprocity laws are unconstitutional under her interpretation given that under the heightened scrutiny she was recommending, it would be virtually impossible to defend them. Justice Stevens closed out her argument adding that such a result was a "necessary consequence of your rationale."

Casey's Argument:
Justice O'Connor, who had remained silent during the grilling of the plaintiffs' counsel, asked the first question of Casey. It should be noted that O'Connor, Rehnquist and Stevens dissented in the Bacchus case, and that they are the only three members of the court still on the bench from the time of that decision. Thus, given their view in that case that the 21st Amendment trumped the dormant commerce clause and allowed discriminatory burdens on interstate commerce, those three justices are viewed as the core of those who would be expected to uphold the NY and MI laws. So when she noted the difficulty in overturning a precedent such as Bacchus, and pronounced her opinion that it "cut against the state to some extent," she was undoubtedly looking for Casey to enunciate clearly why it should not apply to the cases at bar. Justices Kennedy and Ginsburg also noted that the language of Bacchus seemed to "restore" the anti-discrimination principles of the dormant commerce clause to the 21st Amendment.

Although Casey noted that Bacchus spoke to "mere economic protectionism," and that the MI and NY laws were supported by other legitimate concerns of the 21st Amendment including temperance, Casey was less than effective in reciting the evidence in the record in both the NY and MI cases which supported that position, merely noting that there were "affidavits and interrogatories" in the record which spoke to those concerns. Because of that failing, Justice Souter pursued the issue further, asking whether there was sufficient evidence in the case for the Court to rule, and that lacking that evidence, should the court send it back for further evidence gathering. Casey's response wandered into the procedural aspects of the earlier proceedings.

Justice Kennedy observed that if the dormant commerce clause applied to liquor distribution as Bacchus implied, that would create a substantial burden for the states to justify those laws, whether strict scrutiny or some other heightened level of scrutiny. Justice Scalia followed this point by instructing Casey that the burden was his and that he needed to tell them what the evidence was supporting his position. At that point Casey mentioned the stings MI had pursued.

At this point, Breyer appeared to contradict his earlier perspective, arguing that perhaps Section 2 of the 21st Amendment did not eliminate the pre-Wilson Act anti-discrimination prohibition and Justice Kennedy asked what evidence there was that it did. Casey correctly noted that the Webb-Kenyon Act was entitled "An Act Divesting Alcohol of its Interstate Character in Certain Cases," to make the point that it was the intent of Congress to override the dormant commerce clause - and thus the anti-discrimination principles inherent in that doctrine - in that legislation and in the constitutional amendment modeled after that act.

Justice Ginsburg did not question that history, but did feel that Casey was asking to court to reject Bacchus outright and rule that alcohol was an exception to the normal operation of the dormant commerce clause - that the 21st Amendment trumped it. Justice Kennedy asked if one of the purposes of the 21st Amendment was to allow for discrimination and Casey answered it was, but O'Connor ended Casey's argument questioning what to make of Bacchus, just as she had at the beginning.

Halligan's Argument:
Halligan began by noting that the 21st Amendment expressed a consensus that alcohol was different and thus needed to be treated differently. Justice Kennedy asked her if that meant that she was taking the position that even "mere protectionism" was sufficient to justify the sale of only NY wines, in a reference to the wording of the Bacchus case; in other words, was the state taking the position that Bacchus was a bad decision and that the dissent in that case had the correct view. Halligan did not address that point directly, indicating that the justifications of the NY and MI laws were valid even in light of Bacchus.

Justice Souter addressed the issues of compliance with Halligan, asking her about NY's enforcement efforts and whether those efforts could be effectuated through an online compliance system. Justice Ginsburg asked what merely having an office in NY did for enforcement purposes, and Halligan explained that it was more than just an office, that the product would have to be present in that location and available for inspection.

Justice Scalia was plainly skeptical of NY's argument that it was impossible to enforce against out-of-state licensees as they could against in-state licensee, and Justice Ginsburg questioned why other states which allowed direct shipment did not have such concerns. Halligan made the point that she could not speak for other states, but that simply because other states did not concern themselves with accountability to the extent NY did, that did not make NY's concerns less valid.

Justice Scalia wondered whether there should be a greater level of scrutiny if discrimination were found, but Halligan pointed out that the Court's North Dakota decision, which came after Bacchus, found that the mere "risk of diversion" was enough to sustain that state's increased burden on out-of-state suppliers and that the case at bar was no different in that respect.

Justice Stevens noted that if the Court were to apply Bacchus, where in-state tax exemptions were prohibited, it would be difficult to sustain the NY laws. But Halligan noted that Bacchus was distinguishable in several ways from the cases before the Court, not least of which was that the very language of the 21st Amendment speaks to state control over importation, an issue which was not at stake in Bacchus.

Bolick's Rebuttal:
Bolick used his rebuttal time to make an essentially political/equitable argument, talking, inter alia, about the power imbalance between wholesalers and small wineries and the merits of the FTC report. In the course of that argument, Bolick incorrectly stated that there were only 600 wines in distribution in New York when in fact the record shows that over 19,000 brands are actually in distribution. Unfortunately, the format of the arguments did not allow for rebuttal of that misstatement.

But Justice Stevens ended the session by saying that in the end the question really comes down to whether the 21st Amendment allows the disparate treatment the plaintiffs were complaining about.

Legal Analysis/Prediction:
Trying to make a prediction about the outcome of any case before the Supreme Court is a perilous proposition. Nonetheless, I will give it a shot.

Given the dissent by Justices Stevens, Rehnquist and O'Connor in the Bacchus decision, it seems likely to me that they will try to defend the NY and MI laws by either trying to overturn that decision or by trying to distinguish these cases from Bacchus. While O'Connor did question the states about the implications of Bacchus, it is unlikely that she will change her personal view of the 21st Amendment. Her questions about how she and other justices could differentiate that case from the current cases supports the conclusion that she was trying to win over those who would not necessarily vote to overturn Bacchus, but understanding the threat imposed by the plaintiffs' interpretation, would need to find a way around Bacchus to avoid joining an opinion creating anarchy in the alcohol distribution system.

The Bacchus dissent presumably gives the states/intervenors a core of three strong justices to make the case for upholding their laws. Justice Rehnquist's health has been an issue, but the Supreme Court announced yesterday that although his participation in the November cases would be limited, he would be participating fully in the December cases - which includes the alcohol cases. As such, and given his intention to swear in the President at inauguration, it appears that Chief Justice Rehnquist is doing better than previously thought, and that he will be a factor in these cases. The question then becomes who joins with them.

Justice Thomas did not ask any questions, as is his wont. But some aspects of his record lead me to believe he could easily join with Rehnquist, Stevens and O'Connor. First, Justice Thomas has gone on the record criticizing the "dormant commerce clause" as a judicial construct not within the four corners of the constitution. Moreover, he is a social conservative and will be receptive to the argument that easier access to alcohol with less of an ability to enforce state law regulating its flow is not a good thing. Being a textualist, he will be more likely to find that the actual words of the 21st Amendment mean what they say.

Breyer is a possible joiner because his questioning reflected his understanding that the dormant commerce clause was overridden by the passage of the 21st Amendment and because, although he was concerned about the Bacchus language, his historical perspective seems to be towards a stronger interpretation of the powers given states by the 21st Amendment. Moreover, while he was troubled by the Bacchus decision, if he truly believes that the dormant commerce clause was trumped by the 21st Amendment, he will have to put precedent over principal to sustain the challenges to the state laws since one can only find discrimination if the dormant commerce clause is relevant. His saying that you can't break the dormant commerce clause into six pieces was perhaps his way of saying the Bacchus case was not decided correctly.

Justice Souter could easily join with Rehnquist, Stevens and O'Connor as he seemed to understand there was an important difference between local control and out-of-state control. This would allow him to distinguish Bacchus, assuming he doesn't get caught up in second guessing state decisions concerning importation and gives them the deference they deserve, even under Bacchus, and certainly under North Dakota.

Justice Ginsburg implied that the 21st Amendment did not incorporate anti-discrimination language and that indicated a legislative decision to override such concerns. Like Breyer, she seemed to feel that it is not the constitution which causes the problem for the states, but rather the Court's latter day interpretation of the 21st Amendment in the Bacchus case.

Justice Scalia has always been a problematic vote, as he disfavors any type of differential treatment. But he is a strong textualist and federalist and may find it difficult overcoming the direct language of the 21st Amendment. And because of that conflict, I believe it unlikely that he will be at the forefront of an effort to form a majority opinion which would have the effect of essentially nullifying a clearly "enumerated power" of the states.

In the end, it may come down to thinking of Justice Kennedy. Kennedy clearly understands the damage to the orderly distribution of alcohol that the plaintiffs' legal argument would entail. His questioning reflects that the result the plaintiffs want would destroy the state licensing system. But he is also concerned about whether the Bacchus case controls here. It seems to me his ultimate decision will depend on whether he is more concerned about the breakdown of the system or if he feels bound by what I believe to be easily distinguishable dicta in Bacchus. If he goes with Rehnquist, Stevens and O'Connor, it is likely that he will bring others with him given his understanding of the issue and his leadership on the Court. This is the most probable result in my estimation, and should that occur, you will see the states prevail.

However, because Kennedy understands the issues surrounding alcohol distribution and clearly has an interest in them, I tend to believe he is the only one with Bacchus concerns that could also knit together a majority in favor of the plaintiffs. However, although that is a possibility, it is not a prospect the plaintiffs in these cases should wish for.

Why? Because if Justice Kennedy decides that the Bacchus case controls - that there is no way to distinguish it - he will need to gather votes to oppose Rehnquist, Stevens and O'Connor, or to try to get them to join him. But because he clearly understands the dangers inherent in the "sweeping rationale" sought by the plaintiffs, it is unlikely that he would write an opinion which would lead to the very result he fears.

I have long argued that the plaintiffs should be careful what they ask for, because they might get it. In these cases, I think it is unlikely that the Court will give the plaintiffs the "sweeping rationale" they seek - assuming they prevail on the merits - because of the dangers understood and expressed so articulately by Justice Kennedy. Rather, the Court will be much more likely to seek to mute the effect of any such victory for the plaintiffs by playing on the comments of Justice Ginsburg - and the concession by Sullivan - that any discrimination complained of can be cured by simply removing the favoritism, in this case by knocking out the in-state exceptions which are easily severable.

While that decision would be quite disheartening for the plaintiffs, that would just be the beginning of their troubles. It would not be long before follow-on litigation would soon take all reciprocal laws off the books. As Justice Stevens noted, and as Sullivan basically conceded, reciprocal laws must invariably be found to be unconstitutional as well under the plaintiffs' interpretation.

If that occurs, the battle over unregulated and unaccountable direct shipments to consumers would revert to the state legislatures - where this battle should have been fought from the outset.

A decision in the cases should be handed down sometime in the spring.


Supreme Court Opinions


Michigan/6th Circuit Supreme Court Filings:

New York/2nd Circuit Supreme Court Filings:

 

 

 
  © Copyright 2002-2007 Wine & Spirits Wholesalers of America, Inc. webmaster || privacy || legal